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DeFi

Predicate, Paxos, and the policy layer

Roman Hasley
Last updated: 19.06.2025 1:33 AM
Roman Hasley
Published: 19.06.2025
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Predicate, Paxos, and the policy layer

Global Outage Exposes Critical Infrastructure Vulnerabilities

On June 12th, a major outage originating in Google Cloud services cascaded globally, crippling over 70 platforms including OpenAI (which experienced its longest recorded outage), Cloudflare, Spotify, Discord, Snapchat, UPS, and DoorDash.

Contents
Global Outage Exposes Critical Infrastructure VulnerabilitiesLess Publicized Impact in DeFiThe Alternative: PredicateHow It WorksA Case Study: PaxosModularity as a Key AdvantageBeyond Compliance: Resilience and Adaptability

This incident, coupled with a week earlier’s nearly 12-hour downtime for TRM Labs—a widely used blockchain compliance provider—highlights the fragility of opaque, centralized systems underpinning much of the internet.

Less Publicized Impact in DeFi

The TRM Labs failure (June 10th) was significantly less publicized, yet its consequences were profound within the decentralized finance space. This outage impacted users relying on TRM for transaction screening, disrupting their policy enforcement mechanisms.

The Alternative: Predicate

Unlike centralized compliance providers, Predicate offers a decentralized solution. The company provides a modular, programmable policy enforcement layer designed for DeFi transactions.

Predicate’s latest white paper, co-authored with Paxos and Uniswap, showcases its integration with Uniswap v4, enabling on-chain enforcement of asset-specific rules before transactions or pool deposits.

How It Works

According to Predicate CEO Nikhil Raghuveera, this system allows for sophisticated, adaptable compliance:

  • Jurisdictional geofencing
  • Market conduct constraints
  • Investor accreditation checks

Rules can be based on various factors, incorporating both on-chain and off-chain data, and can differ per user (e.g., based on IP or accreditation status).

A Case Study: Paxos

Predicate’s capabilities are particularly relevant for regulated projects like Paxos. Paxos’ USDL stablecoin utilizes a yield-bearing mechanism that may trigger regulatory classification as a money market fund.

Predicate allows Paxos to maintain regulatory compliance by restricting US access via its liquidity pools on Uniswap. This is achieved through frontend IP gating or on-chain attestations, ensuring specific policies are enforced without compromising the broader DeFi composability ethos.

Modularity as a Key Advantage

Raghuveera emphasizes the importance of this modular architecture:

“Policy is critical infrastructure… You need a holistic set of different pieces in case something goes down.”

Predicate’s design ensures that the verdicts from compliance providers (whether TRM, Elliptic, or Crystal) are verifiable on-chain. Should one provider fail, others can seamlessly integrate without necessitating smart contract modifications.

This approach mirrors trends seen in decentralized computing, such as using Akash Network for avoiding centralized GPU shortages in AI training.

Beyond Compliance: Resilience and Adaptability

Predicate’s launch underscores an evolving understanding of DeFi resilience. The platform promotes not just the familiar concept of smart contract composability, but adds a crucial dimension to policy composability: ensuring it can withstand upstream provider failures, be upgraded without causing user disruptions, and adapt to complex jurisdictional requirements.

The recent outages, both in web-scale infrastructure and within DeFi compliance systems, serve as a stark reminder of single points of failure. Solutions like Predicate represent a necessary evolution—prioritizing modularity and resilience for critical functions, enabling the broader institutional adoption of DeFi while navigating complex regulatory landscapes.

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