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Business

Coinbase Stock Dives as Company Misses Q2 Revenue Forecasts

Roman Hasley
Last updated: 01.08.2025 2:14 AM
Roman Hasley
Published: 01.08.2025
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Coinbase Stock Dives as Company Misses Q2 Revenue Forecasts

Coinbase Reports Quarterly Revenue Dip Amid Market Headwinds

Coinbase reported a significant drop in its second-quarter 2025 revenue, missing analyst expectations and reflecting a challenging trading environment in the cryptocurrency market.

Contents
Coinbase Reports Quarterly Revenue Dip Amid Market HeadwindsKey PointsTrading Environment & Consolidated DataStrategic Expansion & Future OutlookHistorical Context & M&A Activity

Key Points

  • Second-quarter total revenue fell by 25% year-over-year to $1.5 billion.
  • This result (~$512 million adjusted EBITDA) missed FactSet data forecasts of $1.59 billion by nearly $90 million.
  • The company’s net income surged 1,270% year-over-year to $1.4 billion, primarily driven by increased valuations of its Circle stake and other crypto assets.
  • Coinbase’s stock price dropped over 6% in after-hours trading, shedding $7 billion in market capitalization.
  • The company recently finalized its $3 billion acquisition of Deribit, positioning it as the largest deal in crypto industry history.

Trading Environment & Consolidated Data

As reported by Coinbase, second-quarter results were negatively impacted by a softer crypto market compared to the first quarter of 2025, along with several macro headwinds. The company noted reduced prices and increased volatility contributed to the trading environment’s challenges.

FactSet data confirms the revenue miss, placing results approximately 6% below consensus estimates. While EBIT 2Q revenue saw a sharp decline of over 25% compared to Q1 2025, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) also dropped by more than 13% year-over-year, reaching $512 million.

Net income saw a dramatic year-over-year increase of $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion due to substantial unrealized and realized gains related to its significant investment in Circle Ltd. (COIN news) and other stakeholdings during the period.

Strategic Expansion & Future Outlook

Despite the quarterly financial challenges, Coinbase revealed plans for a major platform expansion. The company announced an “everything exchange” strategy via CNBC, targeting initial U.S. launch followed by foreign markets. This platform aims to offer tokenized real-world assets, equities, derivatives, early-stage token sales, and contracts for real-world event outcomes.

Looking forward, Coinbase views continued industry growth but acknowledges increasing pressures. These include escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly impacting crypto briefly last month following events between Israel and Iran, and intensifying competition within the crypto sector.

Historical Context & M&A Activity

Despite its recent quarterly performance, Coinbase remains a significant force in the often-volatile crypto industry. Its previously mentioned $3 billion acquisition of Deribit, reported earlier this month, represents a pivotal moment as the industry’s largest acquisition deal in history and secures a major share of the digital assets derivatives market. The company has executed six acquisitions this year.

This acquisition activity, alongside widespread M&A across the digital asset sector announced (“61 deals in the first three months of 2025”), reflects crypto industry players leveraging favorable regulatory and legislative statements aimed at fostering blockchain-based economic growth.

After Hours Update: Coinbase stock (-6%, closing around $353).

H1 2025 Performance: Shares up roughly 45% year-to-date before the recent dip.

Bitcoin Performance: Strong quarterly performance (+26%) in the month ending June 30.

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