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Ethereum and the battle for yield: What is ETH’s future?

Roman Hasley
Last updated: 18.06.2025 11:33 PM
Roman Hasley
Published: 18.06.2025
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Ethereum and the battle for yield: What is ETH’s future?

Ethereum’s Staking Yield Weakens as Competitors, Including Yield-Bearing Stablecoins, Offer Higher On-Chain Returns

Key Takeaways

  • Ethereum staking yield has dropped below 3%, falling behind many DeFi protocols and yield-bearing stablecoins.
  • Yield-bearing stablecoins like sUSDe and SyrupUSDC now offer 4–6.5% returns, significantly increasing their market share.
  • Most competing yield products are built on Ethereum, meaning rising adoption may ultimately strengthen the network’s long-term value proposition.

On-chain yield, once dominated by traditional finance (TradFi), now anchors the cryptocurrency economy. Ethereum, the leading proof-of-stake blockchain, remains central to this burgeoning fixed-income sector. Users earn returns by locking up their ETH to secure the network.

However, Ethereum is not the sole source of yield on-chain. Today’s crypto users can access a diverse range of yield-bearing products from decentralized finance (DeFi) and traditional finance integrations, some of which surpass Ethereum’s staking returns.

With rising yields from alternatives, the critical question emerges: Is Ethereum quietly losing the on-chain yield competition?

Ethereum Staking Yield Declines

Ethereum staking yield represents the rewards for network security. This comes from two main sources:

  1. Consensus Rewards: Issued by the protocol based on staked ETH amount, following an inverse square root relationship—more stakers mean lower per-validator rewards.
  2. Execution-Layer Rewards (Tips & MEV): Priority fees and maximal extractable value, fluctuating based on network activity and validator strategy.

Since the Ethereum Merge in September 2022, the total staking yield (including both sources) has gradually fallen from around 5.3% to below 3%. This decline results partly from increased staking participation—over 35 million ETH (28% of its total supply) is now staked.

Ethereum staking reward trends since The Merge.
Ethereum staking reward rate trends. Source: Beaconcha.in

Direct staking requires committing 32 ETH, keeping 100% of rewards but demanding significant resources for node operations. Most users opt for liquid staking protocols (e.g., Lido) or exchanges with custodial services. While convenient, these intermediaries charge between 10% and 25% fees, further diminishing the net yield.

While a sub-3% annual staking yield isn’t attractive by any standard, it still outperforms competition like Solana, which currently yields around ~2.5%. Ethereum’s advantage? Its lower ~0.7% net inflation (~annual) dilutes returns far less than Solana’s ~4.5%. However, the core challenge stems primarily from alternative yield-bearing protocols within the ecosystem.

The Rise of Yield-Bearing Stablecoins

Yield-bearing stablecoins offer dollar stability combined with passive returns, predominantly derived from US Treasury yields or synthetic strategies—unlike traditional stablecoins (USDC/USDT) which offer zero direct yield.

The top five yield-bearing stablecoins—sUSDe (Ethena), sUSDS (Reflexer/Sky), SyrupUSDC (Maple Finance), USDY (Ondo Finance), and OUSG (Ondo)—dominate an ~$11.4B market (though volatility). Their methods vary:

  • sUSDe: Uses synthetic delta-neutral strategies and ETH derivatives/staking rewards. Achieved >10–25% APY historically, currently ~6%. Highest yields come with elevated market risk due to complex strategies.
  • sUSDS: Backed by sDAI and tokenized real-world assets (RWAs). Current yield ~4.5%. Focuses more on risk management than maximizing returns.
  • SyrupUSDC: Routes yield through tokenized Treasurys and MEV strategies. Offered ~10%+ APY initially, now yields ~6.5%.
  • USDY: Tokenizes short-term Treasurys. Offers ~4.3%, targeting institutions with a regulated profile.
  • OUSG: Supported by BlackRock ETFs. Offers ~4% with KYC requirements and a strong compliance angle.
Historical APY trends of top yield-bearing stablecoins.
Historical APY. Source: Stablewatch

Differences focus on risk, collateral type (synthetic vs. real-world assets) and accessibility (“permissionless” DeFi-native vs. KYC-heavy institutional offerings).

Yield-bearing stablecoins are rapidly gaining market share, ages-old promises: stable, dollar-pegged asset+yield, previously reserved for institutional money market funds. The sector has grown 235% YoY.

DeFi Lending Still Concentrated on Ethereum

Decentralized lending platforms (Aave, Compound, Morpho) let users supply crypto to pools to earn variable yields based on supply/demand.

These market-driven yields can surpass traditional rates, though with unique DeFi risks including oracle failures, smart contract exploits, and liquidity issues.

ZenGo Wallet and similar services back high yields during demand spikes (e.g., ~5% for USDC equivalents), versus central banks’ rate hikes.

Average DeFi lending returns across major protocols.
Average Lending Returns. Source: Chainlink

Crucially, even these yield-bearing alternatives are predicated on Ethereum:

  • Many stablecoins tokenize Ethereum-based assets or derivatives.
  • DeFi lending platforms are Ethereum-based, often incorporating ETH exposure.

Ethereum remains the primary infrastructure for DeFi and RWA, enjoying trust from both crypto-native and traditional players. As adoption surges, these applications drive network usage and fees, indirectly reinforcing the value of ETH locked in staking.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s staking yield falling short of some newer alternatives isn’t necessarily a defeat. The overwhelming infrastructure—especially for sophisticated yield products—still resides securely on the Ethereum base layer. While slightly weakening in direct competition, Ethereum may be gaining in overall ecosystem strength through continued adoption of RWAs and DeFi on its network, scenarios that increase lockups, transaction volume, and thus amortized staking rewards over time.

Disclaimer: This article is not investment advice. Refer to your own due diligence before making financial decisions.

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