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'This isn't a top': Here's why Bitcoin analysts say BTC will break $123K

Roman Hasley
Last updated: 23.07.2025 3:43 PM
Roman Hasley
Published: 23.07.2025
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'This isn't a top': Here's why Bitcoin analysts say BTC will break $123K

Bitcoin Consolidation: Bullish Signals Highlight Continued Cycle Amid Price Dip

Bitcoin (BTC) is consolidating below the $120,000 mark following an all-time high near $123,000. Despite this pause, analysts maintain that the current bull market cycle is not over, citing strong underlying fundamentals and supportive technical indicators.

Strong Fundamentals Underpin Recovery

Analytics firm Bitcoin Vector recently assessed that although momentum has slowed, the “structure and fundamentals” of the Bitcoin cycle remain solid. The firm stated:

“Momentum has cooled, but structure and fundamentals remain solid. This isn’t a top. It’s a coiled setup with support beneath it.”

Further analysis indicates that “fundamentals are pausing, not weakening,” suggesting the current consolidation is temporary. The “price simply needs to catch up” to reflect the network’s strength. Swissblock echoed this, noting Bitcoin acts as the “structural anchor” for the broader crypto market.

On-Chain Metrics Validate Consolidation

On-chain indicators reinforce this sentiment. The Bitcoin Fundamental Index (BFI) shows robust network growth and liquidity. Short-term holder (STH) metrics from Swissblock indicate active participation without reaching a potential “risk zone” around $138,000. While prices briefly touched the overheated threshold, they remain below it.

Additionally, Bull Market Peak signals on CoinGlass, a selection of 30 potential selling triggers aimed at identifying tops, are flashing green lights. Currently, 0 out of 30 indicators are showing a potential top signal, with the platform advising a “hold 100%” stance based on available cues.

Bitcoin fundamentals (Network growth and liquidity). Source: Bitcoin Vector
Bitcoin fundamentals (Network growth and liquidity). Source: Bitcoin Vector
Bitcoin short-term cost basis bands. Source: Glassnode
Bitcoin short-term cost basis bands. Source: Glassnode

Maintaining a Long-Term Perspective

Analysts caution against mistaking consolidation for a reversal. Elaborating on the STH data, analysts note profit-taking is present but not severe:

“Profit-taking is present, but the STH risk zone at $138K hasn’t been reached. This suggests there’s still room for expansion before we see any panic selling or euphoria.”

Technical chartists and fundamental analyses collectively suggest the current consolidation is a natural part of the bull market’s trajectory. The primary market message is one of patience and confidence in the long-term trajectory.

Bull market peak signals. Source: CoinGlass
Bull market peak signals. Source: CoinGlass

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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