Bitcoin Market Analysis

By [Your Name], Featured Journalist

Event Calendar: Fed Meeting and Key Levels

• FOMC Meeting: Tuesday & Wednesday; Policy Decision: Wednesday at 14:00 ET
• BTC Resistance: $112,000 all-time high (since June 5)

Federal Reserve Outlook

CME’s FedWatch Tool indicates a 99.9% certainty the Federal Funds Rate will remain between 4.25% and 4.50%, leaving a minimal 0.1% chance of a 0.25% cut this week.

Market observers suggest any potential bearish price response from an unchanged rate decision has likely been factored into current markets. Focus is now shifting to post-meeting remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, amid pressure from President Donald Trump for lower rates.

Technical Levels & Market Psychology

BTC Technical Landscape

• Resistance:
  • Primary: $112,000 (ATH)
  • Secondary: $108,000 psychological level
  • Supply zone: $109,000 – $110,500
• Support:
  • Primary: $100,000 psychological level
  • Near-term: $106,000 resistance-turned-support
  • Cautious monitoring: $104,000 (50DMA) / $102,800 (prev range low)
• Deep support: Seeking levels around $92,000 – $95,800

BTC/USD Daily Chart Context

Market Dynamics & Funding Rates

Swissblock highlights negative funding rates emerging post-Israel-Iran tensions, increasing susceptibility to short squeezes if sentiment shifts. Funding rates suggest bears currently hold a funding advantage.

“With negative funding, it’s the bears who are now overexposed, … and that opens the door for a potential squeeze.”

— Swissblock

Current market sentiment leans slightly bullish, interpreting ongoing institutional accumulation (seventh straight week inflows into spot ETFs) as countercyclical resilience.

Liquidity Heatmap Analysis

Binance’s BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap identifies:

• Key Outflow Zone: “All-time-high” near $112,000
• Risk Zone: Challengers at $100,000 (bid concentration) and $92,000-$93,000

Breaking $112,000 could trigger liquidation squeezes and rally toward $114,000 liquidity cluster. Conversely, support from bid concentration is evident around $100,000.

— Market analysis

Market participants anticipate volatility following any FOMC-related statements, but key breakouts or breakdowns below $106,000 or above $112,000 will provide clearer directional guidance for the coming session.